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- WORLD, Page 66ISRAELPower, Not Peace
-
-
- Bowing to the hard line, Shamir saves his job but not his
- diplomacy
-
- By Jill Smolowe
-
-
- Extremism was in the ascendancy again last week in the
- Middle East. Capitulating to the hard-line right of his Likud
- bloc, Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir fettered his own
- plan for elections in the occupied territories with stiff
- conditions that seem to doom the peace initiative. Almost before
- the players could grasp the political implications, a fanatic
- Palestinian wrenched an Israeli bus over a cliff, killing 14
- passengers in what was described as an act of vengeance. Those
- civilian deaths will only harden hearts against thoughts of
- peace. Once again the small steps being taken toward peace were
- shoved rudely backward.
-
- Shamir's initiative was never more than a tentative move
- toward starting a dialogue between the Israelis and the
- Palestinians. It offered Arabs in the occupied territories the
- chance to elect representatives to negotiate with Israel a
- transitional period of self-rule -- a possible beginning if
- Palestinians were willing to take it. But under the terms of the
- initiative, the Palestinian representatives could have no overt
- connection with the Palestine Liberation Organization. Not
- surprisingly, no Palestinians rushed to embrace the scheme.
- Still, coaxed by the U.S., the P.L.O. was giving the plan
- serious consideration.
-
- Last week those hopes lay in rubble. Rather than risk
- losing power, Shamir chose to scuttle his peace diplomacy. He
- sidestepped a challenge to his leadership by embracing four
- conditions laid down by hard-line Industry and Trade Minister
- Ariel Sharon and his allies and plainly designed to be
- unacceptable to the Palestinians. Most indigestible was a
- restriction barring the 140,000 Arab residents of East Jerusalem
- from participating in the proposed elections. Shamir also agreed
- that Israel would not return any of the occupied territories to
- "foreign sovereignty," that the construction of Jewish
- settlements in the West Bank and Gaza would continue and that
- the proposed elections could not take place until the
- 19-month-old intifadeh ended. Ironically, Shamir has espoused
- these same positions many times. But he had hoped to keep them
- in the background while he maneuvered to keep on top of the
- pressures for peace.
-
- Shamir's move jeopardized his fragile coalition with the
- rival Labor Party and threatened to strain relations with a
- Bush Administration eager to get peace talks under way. Charging
- that Likud had "put heavy handcuffs on the peace process,"
- Finance Minister Shimon Peres fumed, "Shamir can agree to
- Sharon's dictates, but the Labor Party will not." Party
- politicians pressed their leaders to bolt the coalition and
- force new elections. But Labor's popular appeal is dwindling,
- so the party leadership is expected to give the wounded peace
- plan one more chance.
-
- Bush Administration officials felt betrayed by Shamir's
- action. "These are the kinds of (conditions) that fall under the
- heading of deal breakers," said a senior staff member. But U.S.
- officials feared that any outspoken criticism of Israel would
- only boomerang and said they intended to continue working with
- the plan.
-
- That won't be easy. Arab officials all but pronounced the
- plan dead in its tracks. In Tunis, P.L.O spokesman Ahmed
- Abdul-Rahman said Shamir's conditions represent a "complete
- rejection of American and Palestinian efforts to bring about
- peace." P.L.O. Chairman Yasser Arafat did not comment publicly,
- but he was known to be concerned that Shamir's intransigence
- might trigger a fresh wave of violence in the occupied
- territories and cede the upper hand to radical elements within
- the P.L.O. who oppose Arafat's attempts to promote more moderate
- policies.
-
- The one clear victor last week was Sharon. By forcing
- Shamir to adopt the killer amendments, Sharon committed Likud
- to a position that leaves virtually no room for negotiation,
- just as he intended. He had denounced Shamir's proposal as "the
- most dangerous plan ever suggested by a government," warning
- that it would lead to the formation of a Palestinian state.
- Sharon's assault on the peace plan also served to boost his own
- leadership ambitions.
-
- Shamir tried unconvincingly to put a positive gloss on
- events. "These matters contain nothing new," he said of the
- amendments. "We did not alter one iota of the peace initiative."
- Yet Shamir's labored efforts at spin control could neither
- disguise the fact that he had sacrificed his fledgling peace
- plan to his own political survival nor hide the painful truth
- that as long as that is his primary aim, Shamir will be
- vulnerable to right-wing pressure.
-
- But shattered diplomacy and a growing domestic political
- crisis were swiftly overshadowed by the violence endemic to the
- divided Holy Land. Only 18 hours after Shamir's announcement,
- an Arab fundamentalist from Gaza whose family had been wounded
- by Israeli soldiers grabbed the wheel of an Israeli bus as it
- traveled along the Tel Aviv-Jerusalem highway. Shouting "Allah
- Akbar!" ("God is great!"), he sent the bus hurtling down a
- 495-ft. ravine. The fiery plunge killed 14 people and wounded
- an additional 27. It was the worst single attack against
- Israelis since the start of the uprising. "This is a shocking
- disaster," Shamir said, "the fruit of a disgusting mind full of
- hatred."
-
- As outrage mounted, Israelis seemed all but to forget their
- political woes. The violent act sent a chilling reminder to all
- that the road to peace is mined with dangers -- and for the
- moment provided Shamir with a temporary respite from the fallout
- of his political pusillanimity.
-
-
- -- Robert Slater/Jerusalem
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-